Prediction: Hanyu Guo vs Sorana Cirstea
Team pages: Hanyu Guo · Sorana Cirstea
Prediction summary
Winner
Hanyu Guo
Sorana Cirstea
Estimated games
22.1Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hanyu Guo
5-5 (W-L)
Sorana Cirstea
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hanyu Guo 1458 · Sorana Cirstea 1538
| Hanyu Guo | Sorana Cirstea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sorana Cirstea (rating 1458 vs 1538).
- Hanyu Guo dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 41.5% break avg.
- Note: Hanyu Guo makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Hanyu Guo | Sorana Cirstea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12 | 11.8-9.5 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +3.6
Over 18.5: 73% · 1.83
Under 18.5: 27% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hanyu Guo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Aliona Falei WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Yue Yuan US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Kayla Day WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Xiyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/06 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/05 | McCartney Kessler French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Sofia Costoulas French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Despina Papamichail French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Miriam Bulgaru French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Sorana Cirstea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jasmine Paolini US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Diane Parry US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Julia Grabher US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Maya Joint WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Sara Bejlek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hanyu Guo vs Sorana Cirstea?
Our model gives 73% to Sorana Cirstea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.