Prediction: Katerina Siniakova vs Ludmilla Samsonova
Team pages: Katerina Siniakova · Ludmilla Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Katerina Siniakova
Ludmilla Samsonova
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Katerina Siniakova
4-6 (W-L)
Ludmilla Samsonova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katerina Siniakova
2–2
Ludmilla Samsonova
(4 last)
- 21 Jun0-2 8-13L
- 25 Jun2-1 18-13W
- 08 Aug1-2 11-16L
- 29 Jun2-1 17-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katerina Siniakova 1491 · Ludmilla Samsonova 1518
| Katerina Siniakova | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Katerina Siniakova makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Ludmilla Samsonova makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Katerina Siniakova | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.8 | 13.5-14.2 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 52% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 48% · 1.80
H2H · Katerina Siniakova 2 – 2 Ludmilla Samsonova (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katerina Siniakova 2–2 Ludmilla Samsonova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 WTA Bad Homburg | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06/24 WTA Bad Homburg | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/08/23 WTA Montreal | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/06/23 WTA Bad Homburg | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katerina Siniakova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Magda Linette WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Naomi Osaka US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Qinwen Zheng Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Jessica Pegula WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Ludmilla Samsonova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Karolina Muchova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/09 | Kayla Day WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 15/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Maya Joint US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 09/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katerina Siniakova vs Ludmilla Samsonova?
Our model gives 53% to Ludmilla Samsonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.