Prediction: Xiyu Wang vs Xinyu Wang
Team pages: Xiyu Wang · Xinyu Wang
Prediction summary
Winner
Xiyu Wang
Xinyu Wang
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Xiyu Wang
5-5 (W-L)
Xinyu Wang
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Xiyu Wang
2–1
Xinyu Wang
(3 last)
- 03 Jan2-1 16-15W
- 07 Oct2-0 12-5W
- 18 Aug1-2 8-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xiyu Wang 1566 · Xinyu Wang 1497
| Xiyu Wang | Xinyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xiyu Wang (rating 1566 vs 1497).
- Xiyu Wang is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Xiyu Wang 2–1 Xinyu Wang (3).
- Note: Xinyu Wang makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Xiyu Wang | Xinyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.2 | 11.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.2
Over 22.5: 41% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 59% · 1.83
H2H · Xiyu Wang 2 – 1 Xinyu Wang (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xiyu Wang 2–1 Xinyu Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/24 WTA Auckland | 2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/10/19 WTA Tianjin | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08/18 ITF Women Nonthaburi | 1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xiyu Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Shuai Zhang Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Alexandra Eala Asian Games |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva Asian Games |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/08 | Ena Koike WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Xinyu Wang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Joanna Garland WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Donna Vekic WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Anna Kalinskaya US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 30/08 | Emiliana Arango US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Donna Vekic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xiyu Wang vs Xinyu Wang?
Our model gives 54% to Xiyu Wang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.