Prediction: Mayar Sherif vs Maja Chwalinska
Team pages: Mayar Sherif · Maja Chwalinska
Prediction summary
Winner
Mayar Sherif
Maja Chwalinska
Estimated games
21.1Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mayar Sherif
6-4 (W-L)
Maja Chwalinska
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mayar Sherif
1–1
Maja Chwalinska
(2 last)
- 06 Dec1-2 10-16L
- 24 May2-1 17-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mayar Sherif 1564 · Maja Chwalinska 1481
| Mayar Sherif | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayar Sherif (rating 1564 vs 1481).
- Mayar Sherif is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mayar Sherif | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.9 | 9.3-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 60.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1.6
Over 19.5: 61% · 1.90
Under 19.5: 39% · 1.80
H2H · Mayar Sherif 1 – 1 Maja Chwalinska (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mayar Sherif 1–1 Maja Chwalinska
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/24 WTA Florianopolis | 1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 24/05/21 French Open Women | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mayar Sherif
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Nikola Bartunkova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 18/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Dalma Galfi WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Maja Chwalinska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Elise Mertens WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Taylor Townsend US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mayar Sherif vs Maja Chwalinska?
Our model gives 60% to Maja Chwalinska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.