Prediction: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa
Team pages: Dayana Yastremska · Cristina Bucsa
Prediction summary
Winner
Dayana Yastremska
Cristina Bucsa
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dayana Yastremska
5-5 (W-L)
Cristina Bucsa
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dayana Yastremska
3–0
Cristina Bucsa
(3 last)
- 09 Feb2-1 17-16W
- 03 Mar2-0 12-5W
- 23 Jan2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dayana Yastremska 1483 · Cristina Bucsa 1485
| Dayana Yastremska | Cristina Bucsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Dayana Yastremska 3–0 Cristina Bucsa (3).
Statistics
| Dayana Yastremska | Cristina Bucsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.3 | 11.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1
Over 21.5: 57% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 43% · 1.80
H2H · Dayana Yastremska 3 – 0 Cristina Bucsa (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dayana Yastremska 3–0 Cristina Bucsa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/26 WTA Doha | 2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 03/03/22 WTA Lyon | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/01/17 ITF Women Andrezieux-Boutheon Qual | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dayana Yastremska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Caty McNally WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Aoi Ito Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Cristina Bucsa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Xinran Sun WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Linda Noskova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Yulia Putintseva Billie Jean King Cup · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 19/09 | Iva Jovic WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Sara Bejlek WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Panna Udvardy WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 31/08 | Sara Bejlek US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa?
Our model gives 53% to Dayana Yastremska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.