Prediction: Lilli Tagger vs Nikola Bartunkova
Team pages: Lilli Tagger · Nikola Bartunkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilli Tagger
Nikola Bartunkova
Estimated games
21.4Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lilli Tagger
5-5 (W-L)
Nikola Bartunkova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilli Tagger 1516 · Nikola Bartunkova 1570
| Lilli Tagger | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikola Bartunkova (rating 1516 vs 1570).
Statistics
| Lilli Tagger | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.5 | 12.4-9 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +0.9
Over 20.5: 56% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 44% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilli Tagger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Amanda Anisimova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Tamara Korpatsch US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Robin Montgomery WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Lin Zhu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Nikola Bartunkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Karolina Muchova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Magdalena Frech WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Mirra Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Tatjana Maria US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Mayar Sherif US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilli Tagger vs Nikola Bartunkova?
Our model gives 63% to Nikola Bartunkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.