Prediction: Daria Snigur vs Elise Mertens
Team pages: Daria Snigur · Elise Mertens
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Snigur
Elise Mertens
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Snigur
5-5 (W-L)
Elise Mertens
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Snigur 1530 · Elise Mertens 1562
| Daria Snigur | Elise Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daria Snigur | Elise Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.2 | 12-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1
Over 20.5: 57% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 43% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Snigur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Taylah Preston WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/10 | Jasmine Paolini WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 31/08 | Diana Shnaider US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Elise Mertens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Iga Swiatek WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Coco Gauff WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/10 | Katie Volynets WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 25/09 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Naomi Osaka US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Maria Timofeeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Kaitlin Quevedo US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Snigur vs Elise Mertens?
Our model gives 62% to Elise Mertens, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.