Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 12/10, 06:00
Prediction: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar
Team pages: Jiri Lehecka · Rafael Jodar
Prediction summary
Winner
Jiri Lehecka
Rafael Jodar
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jiri Lehecka
8-2 (W-L)
Rafael Jodar
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jiri Lehecka
0–1
Rafael Jodar
(1 last)
- 09 Aug0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiri Lehecka 1562 · Rafael Jodar 1529
| Jiri Lehecka | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jiri Lehecka 0–1 Rafael Jodar (1).
Statistics
| Jiri Lehecka | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-10.8 | 11.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 81.8% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -1.2
Over 23.5: 42% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 58% · 1.83
H2H · Jiri Lehecka 0 – 1 Rafael Jodar (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiri Lehecka 0–1 Rafael Jodar
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 ATP Montreal | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiri Lehecka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/10 | Ugo Humbert ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/09 | Learner Tien Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Ben Shelton Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-21 | L |
| 03/09 | Toby Samuel US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
Rafael Jodar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Alexander Bublik Laver Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Cristian Garin Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 4-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar?
Our model gives 52% to Jiri Lehecka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.