Prediction: Maria Camila Osorio vs Tyra Caterina Grant
Team pages: Maria Camila Osorio · Tyra Caterina Grant
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Camila Osorio
Tyra Caterina Grant
Estimated games
21.4Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Camila Osorio
4-6 (W-L)
Tyra Caterina Grant
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Camila Osorio 1452 · Tyra Caterina Grant 1456
| Maria Camila Osorio | Tyra Caterina Grant | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maria Camila Osorio makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Tyra Caterina Grant makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Maria Camila Osorio | Tyra Caterina Grant | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-12.2 | 9.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 6 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +0.9
Over 20.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 43% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Camila Osorio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Coco Gauff WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ann Li WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Storm Hunter WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Tyra Caterina Grant
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Daria Khomutsianskaya WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Aliona Falei WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Anhelina Kalinina Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Savannah Broadus US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Martina Trevisan WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Katie Boulter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Harmony Tan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Joanna Garland Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Camila Osorio vs Tyra Caterina Grant?
Our model gives 61% to Maria Camila Osorio, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.