Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 11/10, 05:00
Prediction: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik
Team pages: Francisco Cerundolo · Jakub Mensik
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Cerundolo
Jakub Mensik
Estimated games
26Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Cerundolo
5-5 (W-L)
Jakub Mensik
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francisco Cerundolo
3–0
Jakub Mensik
(3 last)
- 03 Oct2-0 12-6W
- 01 May2-1 16-14W
- 27 Sept2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Cerundolo 1528 · Jakub Mensik 1518
| Francisco Cerundolo | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jakub Mensik dominates on serve: 10.6 aces and 41.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Francisco Cerundolo 3–0 Jakub Mensik (3).
Statistics
| Francisco Cerundolo | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.2 | 1.6-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.6-13.9 | 14.6-13.9 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 10.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 77% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.5
Over 22.5: 73% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 27% · 1.90
H2H · Francisco Cerundolo 3 – 0 Jakub Mensik (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francisco Cerundolo 3–0 Jakub Mensik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/26 ATP Beijing | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/05/25 ATP Madrid | 2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 27/09/24 ATP Beijing | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Roman Safiullin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Jakub Mensik ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/09 | Casper Ruud Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 19-22 | L |
| 20/09 | Mert Alkaya Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/09 | Yanki Erel Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 05/09 | Taylor Fritz US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-23 | W |
| 03/09 | Jan-Lennard Struff US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
Jakub Mensik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Alexander Bublik ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Brandon Nakashima Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 19/09 | Ben Shelton Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Learner Tien Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Learner Tien US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
| 03/09 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 01/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik?
Our model gives 54% to Jakub Mensik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.