Tennis · WTA Wuhan · 10/10, 08:30

Prediction: Polina Kudermetova vs Katie Volynets

Team pages: Polina Kudermetova · Katie Volynets

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Polina Kudermetova Katie Volynets
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kudermetova 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLLLLWL
Katie Volynets 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polina Kudermetova 1495 · Katie Volynets 1559
Polina KudermetovaKatie Volynets
Our model41%59%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katie Volynets (rating 1495 vs 1559).
  • Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (8.1/match).

Statistics

Polina KudermetovaKatie Volynets
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.41.6-0.6
Games (G-P)12.3-12.911.8-8.5
Aces3.30.5
Double faults8.10.6
1st serve %64.8%59.6%
Break %39.3%47.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1
Over 21.5: 57% · 1.83 Under 21.5: 43% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polina Kudermetova

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Mirra Andreeva
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/10 Clara Tauson
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
30/09 Yexin Ma
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-1 18-12 W
21/09 Kamilla Rakhimova
WTA Seoul · Hard
1-2 17-18 L
24/08 Linda Fruhvirtova
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
13/08 Xiyu Wang
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/08 Carol Young Suh Lee
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
01/08 Avery Alexander
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
31/07 Elina Svitolina
WTA Washington · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
28/07 Cristina Bucsa
WTA Washington · Hard
2-1 18-13 W

Katie Volynets

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/10 Elise Mertens
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 11-17 L
01/10 Robin Montgomery
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 14-10 W
26/09 Kimberly Birrell
WTA Seoul · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
23/09 Kamilla Rakhimova
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/09 Elvina Kalieva
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
31/08 Linda Noskova
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
29/08 Tereza Valentova
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
29/08 Oksana Selekhmeteva
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
28/08 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Mia Pohankova
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polina Kudermetova vs Katie Volynets?

Our model gives 63% to Katie Volynets, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.