Prediction: Yue Yuan vs Caty McNally
Team pages: Yue Yuan · Caty McNally
Prediction summary
Winner
Yue Yuan
Caty McNally
Estimated games
21.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yue Yuan
8-2 (W-L)
Caty McNally
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yue Yuan
1–0
Caty McNally
(1 last)
- 12 Jan2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yue Yuan 1507 · Caty McNally 1493
| Yue Yuan | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Yue Yuan 1–0 Caty McNally (1).
- Note: Caty McNally makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Yue Yuan | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.8 | 11.3-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 50% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 50% · 1.80
H2H · Yue Yuan 1 – 0 Caty McNally (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yue Yuan 1–0 Caty McNally
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/22 Australian Open Women | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yue Yuan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 6-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Dayeon Back WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Mary Stoiana US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Julia Avdeeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Hanyu Guo US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Alana Smith WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Caty McNally
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Emma Navarro US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Anouk Koevermans US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yue Yuan vs Caty McNally?
Our model gives 57% to Caty McNally, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.