Tennis · WTA Wuhan · 10/10, 05:00

Prediction: Aoi Ito vs Alycia Parks

Team pages: Aoi Ito · Alycia Parks

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Aoi Ito Alycia Parks
Estimated games
20.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aoi Ito 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWWLLWLL
Alycia Parks 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aoi Ito 1455 · Alycia Parks 1459
Aoi ItoAlycia Parks
Our model49%51%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Alycia Parks dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 51.7% break avg.
  • Note: Aoi Ito makes many double faults (6.6/match).
  • Note: Alycia Parks makes many double faults (8.7/match).

Statistics

Aoi ItoAlycia Parks
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 17% (6) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.40.8-1.5
Games (G-P)9.6-10.89-11.7
Aces0.76.6
Double faults6.68.7
1st serve %58.5%70.1%
Break %46.6%51.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.9
Over 21.5: 44% · 1.83 Under 21.5: 56% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aoi Ito

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/10 Kimberly Birrell
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
20/09 Nao Hibino
WTA Singapore · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
19/09 Sofya Lansere
WTA Singapore · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
15/09 Gabriela Knutson
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
12/09 Anastasia Gasanova
W50 Evora
0-2 7-12 L
11/09 Angelina Voloshchuk
W50 Evora
2-0 12-5 W
10/09 Reese Brantmeier
W50 Evora
2-1 13-11 W
09/09 Linda Fruhvirtova
W50 Evora
2-1 15-8 W
31/08 Oksana Selekhmeteva
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
13/08 Harriet Dart
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Alycia Parks

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/10 Lin Zhu
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
23/09 Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Singapore · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
22/09 Mei Yamaguchi
WTA Singapore · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
15/09 Sara Bejlek
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
13/09 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-1 14-14 W
30/08 Taylah Preston
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/08 Ann Li
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
27/08 Maja Chwalinska
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
25/08 Petra Marcinko
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 14-14 W
14/08 Viktorija Golubic
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aoi Ito vs Alycia Parks?

Our model gives 56% to Alycia Parks, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.