Prediction: Daria Kasatkina vs Viktorija Golubic
Team pages: Daria Kasatkina · Viktorija Golubic
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Kasatkina
Viktorija Golubic
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Kasatkina
2-8 (W-L)
Viktorija Golubic
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Kasatkina 1440 · Viktorija Golubic 1503
| Daria Kasatkina | Viktorija Golubic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viktorija Golubic (rating 1440 vs 1503).
- Note: Daria Kasatkina makes many double faults (8.4/match).
Statistics
| Daria Kasatkina | Viktorija Golubic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-13.6 | 11.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 8.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.5
Over 21.5: 61% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 39% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Kasatkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Paula Badosa WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 21/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Paula Badosa US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Xinyu Wang WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 28/07 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Alana Smith WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 25/07 | Mariam Bolkvadze WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Viktorija Golubic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Linda Noskova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Peyton Stearns WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Diane Parry US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 14/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Donna Vekic WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/08 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Kasatkina vs Viktorija Golubic?
Our model gives 54% to Viktorija Golubic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.