Prediction: Sofia Kenin vs Kamilla Rakhimova
Team pages: Sofia Kenin · Kamilla Rakhimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Kenin
Kamilla Rakhimova
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Kenin
4-6 (W-L)
Kamilla Rakhimova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Kenin 1442 · Kamilla Rakhimova 1540
| Sofia Kenin | Kamilla Rakhimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kamilla Rakhimova (rating 1442 vs 1540).
- Kamilla Rakhimova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Sofia Kenin makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Kamilla Rakhimova makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Sofia Kenin | Kamilla Rakhimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-13.1 | 11.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.3
Over 21.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 41% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Kenin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Alina Charaeva WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 02/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Venus Williams US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/08 | Eva Lys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Emma Navarro WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Petra Marcinko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Kamilla Rakhimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Katie Volynets WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Oksana Selekhmeteva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Barbora Krejcikova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 22/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Kenin vs Kamilla Rakhimova?
Our model gives 60% to Kamilla Rakhimova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.