Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 11/10, 05:00
Prediction: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys
Team pages: Alexander Zverev · Quentin Halys
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Zverev
Quentin Halys
Estimated games
28.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Zverev
10-0 (W-L)
Quentin Halys
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Zverev
3–0
Quentin Halys
(3 last)
- 04 Sept3-2 29-26W
- 29 May3-1 23-16W
- 25 Mar2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Zverev 1634 · Quentin Halys 1493
| Alexander Zverev | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Zverev (rating 1634 vs 1493).
- Alexander Zverev dominates on serve: 10.3 aces and 44% break avg.
- Quentin Halys dominates on serve: 13.8 aces and 61.5% break avg.
- Alexander Zverev is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alexander Zverev 3–0 Quentin Halys (3).
- Note: Quentin Halys makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Zverev | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.5 | 1.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.5-11.7 | 17-15.9 |
| Aces | 10.3 | 13.8 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 79% | 81% |
| Break % | 44% | 61.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +6.1
Over 22.5: 86% · 2.10
Under 22.5: 14% · 1.66
H2H · Alexander Zverev 3 – 0 Quentin Halys (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Zverev 3–0 Quentin Halys
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/26 US Open | 3-2 | 29-26 | W |
| 29/05/26 French Open | 3-1 | 23-16 | W |
| 25/03/26 ATP Miami | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Zverev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Yibing Wu ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Novak Djokovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/10 | Juncheng Shang ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Cameron Norrie ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/09 | Learner Tien Laver Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Alex De Minaur Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 21-20 | L |
| 20/09 | Dino Prizmic Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Matej Dodig Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Ben Shelton US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 11/09 | Karen Khachanov US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-15 | W |
Quentin Halys
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Alexander Blockx ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 07/10 | Coleman Wong ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Ignacio Buse ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Roman Safiullin ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 26-29 | L |
| 01/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-17 | W |
| 25/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys?
Our model gives 77% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.