Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 10/10, 06:00
Prediction: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Team pages: Dalibor Svrcina · Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Prediction summary
Winner
Dalibor Svrcina
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dalibor Svrcina
6-4 (W-L)
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dalibor Svrcina
0–1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
(1 last)
- 23 Sept0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalibor Svrcina 1561 · Tomas Martin Etcheverry 1465
| Dalibor Svrcina | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalibor Svrcina (rating 1561 vs 1465).
- Dalibor Svrcina is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Dalibor Svrcina 0–1 Tomas Martin Etcheverry (1).
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (7.6/match).
Statistics
| Dalibor Svrcina | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.2 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.3-13.6 | 11.8-12.9 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 6 |
| Double faults | 7.6 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2
Over 22.5: 64% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 36% · 1.83
H2H · Dalibor Svrcina 0 – 1 Tomas Martin Etcheverry (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalibor Svrcina 0–1 Tomas Martin Etcheverry
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/23 ATP Zhuhai | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalibor Svrcina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Cameron Norrie ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/10 | Billy Harris ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 30/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Rio Noguchi ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Philip Sekulic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 31/08 | Valentin Royer US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 28/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexis Galarneau US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Mariano Navone US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Vit Kopriva US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry?
Our model gives 53% to Dalibor Svrcina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.