Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 10/10, 06:00
Prediction: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
Team pages: Ignacio Buse · Zizou Bergs
Prediction summary
Winner
Ignacio Buse
Zizou Bergs
Estimated games
26.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ignacio Buse
7-3 (W-L)
Zizou Bergs
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ignacio Buse 1539 · Zizou Bergs 1514
| Ignacio Buse | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Zizou Bergs makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Ignacio Buse | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.3 | 1.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-13.9 | 15-14 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 33.2% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +4.3
Over 22.5: 77% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 23% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ignacio Buse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Quentin Halys ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Davis Cup |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Benjamin Bonzi US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Marcos Giron US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-20 | W |
| 29/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Adam Walton ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Zizou Bergs
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Vit Kopriva ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Jurij Rodionov Davis Cup |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Lukas Neumayer Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 27-27 | L |
| 04/09 | Jesper De Jong US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-19 | W |
| 02/09 | Carlos Taberner US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-13 | W |
| 21/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs?
Our model gives 54% to Zizou Bergs, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.