Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 10/10, 06:00
Prediction: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda
Team pages: Learner Tien · Zachary Svajda
Prediction summary
Winner
Learner Tien
Zachary Svajda
Estimated games
26.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Learner Tien
6-4 (W-L)
Zachary Svajda
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Learner Tien 1543 · Zachary Svajda 1472
| Learner Tien | Zachary Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Learner Tien (rating 1543 vs 1472).
Statistics
| Learner Tien | Zachary Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.4 | 1.4-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.9-15 | 14.5-15.5 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 33.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.4 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +4.9
Over 21.5: 80% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 20% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Learner Tien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Alexander Zverev Laver Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Flavio Cobolli Laver Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Jiri Lehecka Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Jakub Mensik Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Karen Khachanov US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-29 | L |
| 06/09 | Jakub Mensik US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-23 | W |
| 04/09 | Gael Monfils US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Nuno Borges US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Zachary Svajda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-23 | L |
| 02/09 | Daniel Altmaier US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Stefan Kozlov ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-23 | L |
| 02/07 | Kamil Majchrzak Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda?
Our model gives 67% to Learner Tien, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.