Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 09/10, 06:00
Prediction: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu
Team pages: Alexander Zverev · Yibing Wu
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Zverev
Yibing Wu
Estimated games
24.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Zverev
10-0 (W-L)
Yibing Wu
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Zverev 1604 · Yibing Wu 1531
| Alexander Zverev | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Zverev (rating 1604 vs 1531).
- Alexander Zverev dominates on serve: 10.6 aces and 46.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Alexander Zverev | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.1-0.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.1-11.5 | 12-11.6 |
| Aces | 10.6 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 78.6% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 30.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +4.2
Over 20.5: 77% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 23% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Zverev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Novak Djokovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/10 | Juncheng Shang ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Cameron Norrie ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/09 | Learner Tien Laver Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Alex De Minaur Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 21-20 | L |
| 20/09 | Dino Prizmic Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Matej Dodig Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Ben Shelton US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 11/09 | Karen Khachanov US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-15 | W |
| 10/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
Yibing Wu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Michael Zheng ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Coleman Wong Asian Games |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Sumit Nagal Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 03/09 | James Duckworth US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Adam Walton US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 23/08 | Francisco Comesana ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu?
Our model gives 75% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.