Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 09/10, 06:00
Prediction: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik
Team pages: Miomir Kecmanovic · Jakub Mensik
Prediction summary
Winner
Miomir Kecmanovic
Jakub Mensik
Estimated games
25.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Miomir Kecmanovic
5-5 (W-L)
Jakub Mensik
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Miomir Kecmanovic
0–2
Jakub Mensik
(2 last)
- 26 Sept0-2 9-13L
- 24 Oct0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miomir Kecmanovic 1465 · Jakub Mensik 1515
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jakub Mensik (rating 1465 vs 1515).
- Head-to-head: Miomir Kecmanovic 0–2 Jakub Mensik (2).
Statistics
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.6-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-13.3 | 14.6-14 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 10.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 76.5% |
| Break % | 30.9% | 33.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.6
Over 21.5: 74% · 1.72
Under 21.5: 26% · 2.00
H2H · Miomir Kecmanovic 0 – 2 Jakub Mensik (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miomir Kecmanovic 0–2 Jakub Mensik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/25 ATP Beijing | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/10/24 ATP Vienna | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miomir Kecmanovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Edas Butvilas Davis Cup |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Denis Shapovalov US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 26/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Jakub Mensik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Alexander Bublik ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Brandon Nakashima Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 19/09 | Ben Shelton Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Learner Tien Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Learner Tien US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
| 03/09 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 01/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik?
Our model gives 64% to Jakub Mensik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.