Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 08/10, 06:00
Prediction: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Nicolas Mejia
Team pages: Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Nicolas Mejia
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Nicolas Mejia
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
3-7 (W-L)
Nicolas Mejia
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1481 · Nicolas Mejia 1487
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Nicolas Mejia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Nicolas Mejia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-13.6 | 12-12.7 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 25.8% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.8
Over 22.5: 56% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 44% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Yi Zhou ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 27/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 14/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Casper Ruud ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Nicolas Mejia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Michael Zheng ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Tallon Griekspoor Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Liam Draxl US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Adam Walton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Henrique Rocha ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/08 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Nicolas Mejia?
Our model gives 58% to Juan Manuel Cerundolo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.