Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 08/10, 06:00
Prediction: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Kimmer Coppejans · Stefanos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Kimmer Coppejans
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kimmer Coppejans
3-7 (W-L)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kimmer Coppejans
3–0
Stefanos Tsitsipas
(3 last)
- 10 Apr2-0 12-8W
- 04 Apr2-0 12-6W
- 22 Sept2-1 17-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kimmer Coppejans 1473 · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1584
| Kimmer Coppejans | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefanos Tsitsipas (rating 1473 vs 1584).
- Stefanos Tsitsipas dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 41.9% break avg.
- Stefanos Tsitsipas is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kimmer Coppejans 3–0 Stefanos Tsitsipas (3).
Statistics
| Kimmer Coppejans | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-10.9 | 16.2-13.6 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 8.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3
Over 19.5: 70% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 30% · 1.83
H2H · Kimmer Coppejans 3 – 0 Stefanos Tsitsipas (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kimmer Coppejans 3–0 Stefanos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/17 Challenger Barletta | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/04/17 Challenger Sophia Antipolis | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09/16 Challenger Izmir | 2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kimmer Coppejans
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Dane Sweeny ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Nishesh Basavareddy ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Miguel Damas Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Stefanos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Yoshihito Nishioka ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Alex Molcan Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/09 | Norbert Gombos Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Ben Shelton US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 04/09 | Jiri Lehecka US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 31/08 | Arthur Fils US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 78% to Stefanos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.