Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 07/10, 10:30
Prediction: Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong
Team pages: Quentin Halys · Coleman Wong
Prediction summary
Winner
Quentin Halys
Coleman Wong
Estimated games
25.1Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Quentin Halys
8-2 (W-L)
Coleman Wong
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quentin Halys 1496 · Coleman Wong 1573
| Quentin Halys | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleman Wong (rating 1496 vs 1573).
- Quentin Halys dominates on serve: 12.6 aces and 56.5% break avg.
- Coleman Wong dominates on serve: 12 aces and 41.5% break avg.
- Coleman Wong is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Quentin Halys | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.4 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.6-15.1 | 13.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 12.6 | 12 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 80% | 76.8% |
| Break % | 56.5% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.6
Over 23.5: 61% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 39% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quentin Halys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Ignacio Buse ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Roman Safiullin ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 26-29 | L |
| 01/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-17 | W |
| 25/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Coleman Wong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Lloyd Harris ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Asian Games |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Kasidit Samrej Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Zaid Mashni Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 26/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Tommy Paul US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong?
Our model gives 53% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.