Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 07/10, 08:00
Prediction: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina
Team pages: Alex Molcan · Federico Cina
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Molcan
Federico Cina
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Molcan
6-4 (W-L)
Federico Cina
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Molcan 1500 · Federico Cina 1539
| Alex Molcan | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alex Molcan | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12 | 10.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 70% |
| Break % | 33.8% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -1.2
Over 23.5: 41% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 59% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Molcan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Tomas Machac ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Vit Kopriva ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 20/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Benjamin Bonzi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 23/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Federico Cina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/10 | Linang Xiao ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Yanki Erel Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Elias Ymer Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/09 | James McCabe Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Kaichi Uchida ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina?
Our model gives 51% to Alex Molcan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.