Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 06/10, 09:30
Prediction: Coleman Wong vs Lloyd Harris
Team pages: Coleman Wong · Lloyd Harris
Prediction summary
Winner
Coleman Wong
Lloyd Harris
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Coleman Wong
8-2 (W-L)
Lloyd Harris
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coleman Wong 1569 · Lloyd Harris 1636
| Coleman Wong | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lloyd Harris (rating 1569 vs 1636).
- Coleman Wong dominates on serve: 11.5 aces and 42.2% break avg.
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 11.4 aces and 47.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Coleman Wong | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10 | 12.5-8.6 |
| Aces | 11.5 | 11.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 79.5% | 82.6% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -2.2
Over 23.5: 35% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 65% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleman Wong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Asian Games |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Kasidit Samrej Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Zaid Mashni Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 26/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Tommy Paul US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 27/08 | Dusan Lajovic US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Alex Bolt ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 02/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Kenta Miyoshi ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleman Wong vs Lloyd Harris?
Our model gives 57% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.