Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 06/10, 09:00
Prediction: Dane Sweeny vs Kimmer Coppejans
Team pages: Dane Sweeny · Kimmer Coppejans
Prediction summary
Winner
Dane Sweeny
Kimmer Coppejans
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dane Sweeny
4-6 (W-L)
Kimmer Coppejans
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dane Sweeny 1494 · Kimmer Coppejans 1440
| Dane Sweeny | Kimmer Coppejans | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dane Sweeny (rating 1494 vs 1440).
Statistics
| Dane Sweeny | Kimmer Coppejans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.8 | 7.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 33.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1
Over 22.5: 43% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 57% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dane Sweeny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Tristan Schoolkate ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Lorenzo Musetti US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Kimmer Coppejans
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Nishesh Basavareddy ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Miguel Damas Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dane Sweeny vs Kimmer Coppejans?
Our model gives 58% to Dane Sweeny, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.