Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 06/10, 06:00
Prediction: Bernard Tomic vs Timofey Skatov
Team pages: Bernard Tomic · Timofey Skatov
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernard Tomic
Timofey Skatov
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Bernard Tomic
5-5 (W-L)
Timofey Skatov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernard Tomic 1553 · Timofey Skatov 1501
| Bernard Tomic | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bernard Tomic (rating 1553 vs 1501).
Statistics
| Bernard Tomic | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11 | 11-10.1 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 65% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 31.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernard Tomic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Fajing Sun ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Rigele Te ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Timofey Skatov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Stefanos Sakellaridis ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Kasra Rahmani Asian Games |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Grigor Dimitrov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernard Tomic vs Timofey Skatov?
Our model gives 53% to Bernard Tomic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.