Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 08/10, 06:30
Prediction: Martin Landaluce vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Team pages: Martin Landaluce · Jan-Lennard Struff
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Landaluce
Jan-Lennard Struff
Estimated games
24.7Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Landaluce
5-5 (W-L)
Jan-Lennard Struff
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Martin Landaluce
0–1
Jan-Lennard Struff
(1 last)
- 22 Jun1-2 14-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Landaluce 1451 · Jan-Lennard Struff 1490
| Martin Landaluce | Jan-Lennard Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jan-Lennard Struff dominates on serve: 9.4 aces and 45.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Martin Landaluce 0–1 Jan-Lennard Struff (1).
- Note: Martin Landaluce makes many double faults (6.5/match).
- Note: Jan-Lennard Struff makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Martin Landaluce | Jan-Lennard Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-14.5 | 12.3-14.5 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 9.4 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.2
Over 23.5: 59% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 41% · 1.80
H2H · Martin Landaluce 0 – 1 Jan-Lennard Struff (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Martin Landaluce 0–1 Jan-Lennard Struff
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/26 ATP Mallorca | 1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Landaluce
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 20/09 | Matias Soto Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 22-27 | L |
| 23/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jack Draper ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Michael Zheng ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Jan-Lennard Struff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Francisco Cerundolo US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
| 01/09 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 15/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Landaluce vs Jan-Lennard Struff?
Our model gives 51% to Jan-Lennard Struff, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.