Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 08/10, 06:30
Prediction: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic
Team pages: Thiago Agustin Tirante · Hamad Medjedovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Hamad Medjedovic
Estimated games
25.2Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Agustin Tirante
5-5 (W-L)
Hamad Medjedovic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Agustin Tirante 1510 · Hamad Medjedovic 1442
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Hamad Medjedovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Agustin Tirante (rating 1510 vs 1442).
- Thiago Agustin Tirante is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Hamad Medjedovic makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Hamad Medjedovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-13.4 | 13.3-15.2 |
| Aces | 10.4 | 8.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 77.4% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 28.2% | 22.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2 · Bet365 line 24.5 · +0.7
Over 24.5: 55% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 45% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Mert Alkaya Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Adrian Mannarino US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 21-25 | L |
| 21/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Novak Djokovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jan Choinski ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 09/08 | Learner Tien ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Hamad Medjedovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Vilius Gaubas Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Kamil Majchrzak US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sebastian Ofner Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-23 | L |
| 19/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/05 | Casper Ruud French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Yannick Hanfmann French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 12/05 | Martin Landaluce ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic?
Our model gives 58% to Thiago Agustin Tirante, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.