Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 08/10, 06:30
Prediction: Fabian Marozsan vs Zachary Svajda
Team pages: Fabian Marozsan · Zachary Svajda
Prediction summary
Winner
Fabian Marozsan
Zachary Svajda
Estimated games
25.8Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Fabian Marozsan
5-5 (W-L)
Zachary Svajda
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fabian Marozsan 1501 · Zachary Svajda 1459
| Fabian Marozsan | Zachary Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fabian Marozsan (rating 1501 vs 1459).
Statistics
| Fabian Marozsan | Zachary Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-13.1 | 15-15.3 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 37.6% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +2.3
Over 23.5: 65% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 35% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fabian Marozsan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 24/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Louis Van Herck Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Michael Zheng US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 28/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Martin Damm ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Zachary Svajda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-23 | L |
| 02/09 | Daniel Altmaier US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Stefan Kozlov ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-23 | L |
| 02/07 | Kamil Majchrzak Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
| 30/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fabian Marozsan vs Zachary Svajda?
Our model gives 54% to Fabian Marozsan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.