Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 08/10, 06:30
Prediction: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Valentin Royer
Team pages: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · Valentin Royer
Prediction summary
Winner
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Valentin Royer
Estimated games
24.2Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
7-3 (W-L)
Valentin Royer
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1541 · Valentin Royer 1531
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12.8 | 13.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +0.7
Over 23.5: 55% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 45% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Jaime Faria ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 28/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Coleman Wong ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Jie Cui ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Ignacio Buse Davis Cup |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 19/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Gael Monfils US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 9-20 | L |
Valentin Royer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Adam Walton ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
| 22/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Valentin Royer?
Our model gives 53% to Adolfo Daniel Vallejo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.