Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 08/10, 06:30
Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Team pages: Botic Van De Zandschulp · Daniel Merida Aguilar
Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Estimated games
26.5Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
4-6 (W-L)
Daniel Merida Aguilar
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1547 · Daniel Merida Aguilar 1553
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Daniel Merida Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Daniel Merida Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-1.3 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 17-15.8 | 14.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 10.2 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.5 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +3
Over 23.5: 70% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 30% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Jie Cui ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Valentin Royer ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-29 | W |
| 05/09 | Zizou Bergs US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
| 04/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Jan Choinski US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
Daniel Merida Aguilar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Alejandro Tabilo Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/09 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Andrey Rublev US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-17 | W |
| 30/08 | Marton Fucsovics US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Zizou Bergs ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Marin Cilic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Learner Tien ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Our model gives 52% to Daniel Merida Aguilar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.