Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 08/10, 06:30
Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Facundo Diaz Acosta
Team pages: Nuno Borges · Facundo Diaz Acosta
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuno Borges
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges
5-5 (W-L)
Facundo Diaz Acosta
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1513 · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1583
| Nuno Borges | Facundo Diaz Acosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Facundo Diaz Acosta (rating 1513 vs 1583).
Statistics
| Nuno Borges | Facundo Diaz Acosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12.5 | 13.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 79.5% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 34% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 43% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuno Borges
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Novak Djokovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Learner Tien US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Andrey Rublev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Thanasi Kokkinakis ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 08/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Jaume Munar Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Quentin Halys US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-25 | L |
| 02/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Facundo Diaz Acosta?
Our model gives 58% to Nuno Borges, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.