Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 08/10, 06:30
Prediction: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak
Team pages: Yannick Hanfmann · Kamil Majchrzak
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannick Hanfmann
Kamil Majchrzak
Estimated games
24.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yannick Hanfmann
5-5 (W-L)
Kamil Majchrzak
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yannick Hanfmann
0–1
Kamil Majchrzak
(1 last)
- 18 Sept0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannick Hanfmann 1478 · Kamil Majchrzak 1481
| Yannick Hanfmann | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yannick Hanfmann dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 45.5% break avg.
- Kamil Majchrzak dominates on serve: 7 aces and 43.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Yannick Hanfmann 0–1 Kamil Majchrzak (1).
Statistics
| Yannick Hanfmann | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.2 | 12.5-13 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 7 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.4
Over 23.5: 60% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 40% · 1.80
H2H · Yannick Hanfmann 0 – 1 Kamil Majchrzak (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yannick Hanfmann 0–1 Kamil Majchrzak
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/21 Challenger Szczecin | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Tomas Machac ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 31/08 | Alejandro Tabilo US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 16/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Kamil Majchrzak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Arthur Fils ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/09 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Alex De Minaur Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | James Duckworth Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Valentin Vacherot US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-23 | L |
| 30/08 | Hamad Medjedovic US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak?
Our model gives 55% to Kamil Majchrzak, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.