Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 08/10, 06:30
Prediction: Jaume Munar vs Jenson Brooksby
Team pages: Jaume Munar · Jenson Brooksby
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaume Munar
Jenson Brooksby
Estimated games
24.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaume Munar
4-6 (W-L)
Jenson Brooksby
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaume Munar 1584 · Jenson Brooksby 1480
| Jaume Munar | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jaume Munar (rating 1584 vs 1480).
- Jaume Munar is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jaume Munar | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.8-12 | 11.8-12.4 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.8
Over 22.5: 62% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 38% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaume Munar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Jaime Faria ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/10 | Taylor Fritz ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Marcos Giron ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 12/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Arthur Rinderknech US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 30/08 | Terence Atmane US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-25 | W |
Jenson Brooksby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Sebastian Baez ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Jaime Faria US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-24 | L |
| 25/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Adam Walton ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaume Munar vs Jenson Brooksby?
Our model gives 62% to Jaume Munar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.