Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 08/10, 06:30
Prediction: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Team pages: Sho Shimabukuro · Miomir Kecmanovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Sho Shimabukuro
Miomir Kecmanovic
Estimated games
24.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sho Shimabukuro
3-7 (W-L)
Miomir Kecmanovic
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sho Shimabukuro
0–2
Miomir Kecmanovic
(2 last)
- 23 Aug0-2 7-12L
- 10 Feb1-2 16-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sho Shimabukuro 1414 · Miomir Kecmanovic 1462
| Sho Shimabukuro | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miomir Kecmanovic (rating 1414 vs 1462).
- Head-to-head: Sho Shimabukuro 0–2 Miomir Kecmanovic (2).
Statistics
| Sho Shimabukuro | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 13% (8) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12.6 | 13.1-14.3 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 32.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.9
Over 22.5: 63% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 37% · 1.83
H2H · Sho Shimabukuro 0 – 2 Miomir Kecmanovic (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sho Shimabukuro 0–2 Miomir Kecmanovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 ATP Winston-Salem | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/02/26 ATP Dallas | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sho Shimabukuro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Hugo Gaston ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Anton Shepp Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | James Watt Davis Cup |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/08 | Arthur Rinderknech US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-25 | L |
| 23/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Hugo Dellien ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Marin Cilic ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Miomir Kecmanovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Edas Butvilas Davis Cup |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Denis Shapovalov US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 26/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 03/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic?
Our model gives 60% to Miomir Kecmanovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.