Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 08/10, 06:30
Prediction: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac
Team pages: Zhizhen Zhang · Tomas Machac
Prediction summary
Winner
Zhizhen Zhang
Tomas Machac
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zhizhen Zhang
3-7 (W-L)
Tomas Machac
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zhizhen Zhang
0–2
Tomas Machac
(2 last)
- 28 Jul1-2 10-16L
- 21 Aug1-2 11-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhizhen Zhang 1441 · Tomas Machac 1439
| Zhizhen Zhang | Tomas Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Zhizhen Zhang 0–2 Tomas Machac (2).
Statistics
| Zhizhen Zhang | Tomas Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-13.1 | 10.5-14.2 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 35.7% | 21.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.72
Under 22.5: 43% · 2.00
H2H · Zhizhen Zhang 0 – 2 Tomas Machac (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhizhen Zhang 0–2 Tomas Machac
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/24 Olympics 2024 - Men | 1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/08/22 Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhizhen Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Arthur Gea ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Coleman Wong ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Henry Searle Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Jaime Faria Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Tomas Machac
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Alex Molcan ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Arthur Gea ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 30/08 | Toby Samuel US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Alexander Zverev French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Zizou Bergs French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 07/05 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/04 | Cameron Norrie ATP Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac?
Our model gives 60% to Tomas Machac, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.