Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 05/10, 09:00
Prediction: Billy Harris vs Dalibor Svrcina
Team pages: Billy Harris · Dalibor Svrcina
Prediction summary
Winner
Billy Harris
Dalibor Svrcina
Estimated games
25
Recent form · 10 last
Billy Harris
5-5 (W-L)
Dalibor Svrcina
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Billy Harris 1476 · Dalibor Svrcina 1532
| Billy Harris | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalibor Svrcina (rating 1476 vs 1532).
- Note: Billy Harris makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Billy Harris | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-13.1 | 14.4-12.7 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 37% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Billy Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Toby Samuel US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Dalibor Svrcina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Rio Noguchi ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Philip Sekulic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 31/08 | Valentin Royer US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 28/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexis Galarneau US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Billy Harris vs Dalibor Svrcina?
Our model gives 66% to Dalibor Svrcina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.