Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 05/10, 06:00
Prediction: Linang Xiao vs Federico Cina
Team pages: Linang Xiao · Federico Cina
Prediction summary
Winner
Linang Xiao
Federico Cina
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Linang Xiao
4-6 (W-L)
Federico Cina
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linang Xiao 1411 · Federico Cina 1495
| Linang Xiao | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Cina (rating 1411 vs 1495).
- Federico Cina is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Linang Xiao | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-13.8 | 10-11 |
| Aces | 4 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 50% | 35.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linang Xiao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Colin Sinclair M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Xiuyuan Ye M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/05 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/04 | Filip Peliwo M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Blake Ellis Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Federico Cina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Yanki Erel Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Elias Ymer Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/09 | James McCabe Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Kaichi Uchida ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 28/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linang Xiao vs Federico Cina?
Our model gives 78% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.