Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 05/10, 10:30
Prediction: Kimmer Coppejans vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Team pages: Kimmer Coppejans · Nishesh Basavareddy
Prediction summary
Winner
Kimmer Coppejans
Nishesh Basavareddy
Estimated games
20.5Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kimmer Coppejans
3-7 (W-L)
Nishesh Basavareddy
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kimmer Coppejans 1422 · Nishesh Basavareddy 1584
| Kimmer Coppejans | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nishesh Basavareddy (rating 1422 vs 1584).
- Nishesh Basavareddy is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kimmer Coppejans | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-10.2 | 13.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 30.6% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1
Over 19.5: 57% · 1.80
Under 19.5: 43% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kimmer Coppejans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Miguel Damas Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Nishesh Basavareddy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Mees Rottgering Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-22 | L |
| 28/08 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Luka Mikrut US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Moise Kouame US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kimmer Coppejans vs Nishesh Basavareddy?
Our model gives 79% to Nishesh Basavareddy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.