Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 05/10, 10:30
Prediction: Coleman Wong vs Cruz Hewitt
Team pages: Coleman Wong · Cruz Hewitt
Prediction summary
Winner
Coleman Wong
Cruz Hewitt
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Coleman Wong
8-2 (W-L)
Cruz Hewitt
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coleman Wong 1590 · Cruz Hewitt 1540
| Coleman Wong | Cruz Hewitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleman Wong (rating 1590 vs 1540).
- Note: Cruz Hewitt makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Coleman Wong | Cruz Hewitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.1 | 10.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 11.7 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 80.3% | 71% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +0.5
Over 21.5: 53% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 47% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleman Wong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Asian Games |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Kasidit Samrej Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Zaid Mashni Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 26/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Tommy Paul US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 27/08 | Dusan Lajovic US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Lukas Neumayer US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Cruz Hewitt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Max Purcell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Sebastian Gorzny ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 07/08 | Clement Chidekh M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/08 | Leo Vithoontien M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleman Wong vs Cruz Hewitt?
Our model gives 68% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.