Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 05/10, 07:30
Prediction: Adam Walton vs Rigele Te
Team pages: Adam Walton · Rigele Te
Prediction summary
Winner
Adam Walton
Rigele Te
Estimated games
21.1Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Walton
6-4 (W-L)
Rigele Te
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Walton 1518 · Rigele Te 1500
| Adam Walton | Rigele Te | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Adam Walton dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 45.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Adam Walton | Rigele Te | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.2 | 10.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +2.6
Over 18.5: 67% · 1.72
Under 18.5: 33% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Walton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Valentin Royer ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Yibing Wu US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Jesper De Jong ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 17/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Rigele Te
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Arthur Gea ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Bernard Tomic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Casper Ruud Davis Cup |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Joshua Charlton M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Isaac Becroft M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Walton vs Rigele Te?
Our model gives 73% to Adam Walton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.