Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 05/10, 06:00
Prediction: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau
Team pages: Roman Safiullin · Alexis Galarneau
Prediction summary
Winner
Roman Safiullin
Alexis Galarneau
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Roman Safiullin
4-6 (W-L)
Alexis Galarneau
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Roman Safiullin
1–1
Alexis Galarneau
(2 last)
- 07 Jun1-2 17-19L
- 29 Mar2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roman Safiullin 1504 · Alexis Galarneau 1497
| Roman Safiullin | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Roman Safiullin dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 52.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Roman Safiullin | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.9 | 10.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.1% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 36.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2
Over 20.5: 64% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 36% · 1.80
H2H · Roman Safiullin 1 – 1 Alexis Galarneau (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roman Safiullin 1–1 Alexis Galarneau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 ATP Stuttgart | 1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 29/03/22 Challenger St Brieuc | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roman Safiullin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Quentin Halys ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Fajing Sun ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Hugo Grenier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Alexis Galarneau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Elias Ymer ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Linang Xiao Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Semen Pankin Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Keegan Smith US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau?
Our model gives 68% to Roman Safiullin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.