Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 05/10, 06:00
Prediction: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Team pages: Andre Ilagan · Nikoloz Basilashvili
Prediction summary
Winner
Andre Ilagan
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Estimated games
22.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andre Ilagan
5-5 (W-L)
Nikoloz Basilashvili
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andre Ilagan 1510 · Nikoloz Basilashvili 1535
| Andre Ilagan | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andre Ilagan | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.8 | 12.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 76.3% |
| Break % | 29.8% | 33.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 47% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 53% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andre Ilagan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Hugo Gaston US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Tristan Boyer US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Hanlei Lu ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Seong Chan Hong US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Our model gives 61% to Nikoloz Basilashvili, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.