Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 05/10, 09:00
Prediction: Jie Cui vs Aleksandar Vukic
Team pages: Jie Cui · Aleksandar Vukic
Prediction summary
Winner
Jie Cui
Aleksandar Vukic
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jie Cui
5-5 (W-L)
Aleksandar Vukic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jie Cui 1482 · Aleksandar Vukic 1503
| Jie Cui | Aleksandar Vukic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jie Cui | Aleksandar Vukic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.5 | 14.3-14.1 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 9.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 76% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.1
Over 21.5: 64% · 1.72
Under 21.5: 36% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jie Cui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | James Trotter Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Aleksandar Vukic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 20/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/08 | Darwin Blanch ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jie Cui vs Aleksandar Vukic?
Our model gives 64% to Aleksandar Vukic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.