Tennis · WTA Beijing · 30/09, 08:00
Prediction: Maddison Inglis vs Zeynep Sonmez
Team pages: Maddison Inglis · Zeynep Sonmez
Prediction summary
Winner
Maddison Inglis
Zeynep Sonmez
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maddison Inglis
6-4 (W-L)
Zeynep Sonmez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maddison Inglis 1549 · Zeynep Sonmez 1478
| Maddison Inglis | Zeynep Sonmez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maddison Inglis (rating 1549 vs 1478).
- Note: Zeynep Sonmez makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Maddison Inglis | Zeynep Sonmez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.1 | 10.6-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 57% | 60.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maddison Inglis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Darya Astakhova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Xinxin Yao WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Storm Hunter US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Zeynep Sonmez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Iva Jovic WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Rebecca Marino WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Cadence Brace WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maddison Inglis vs Zeynep Sonmez?
Our model gives 54% to Zeynep Sonmez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.