Tennis · WTA Beijing · 08/10, 05:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva
Team pages: Ekaterina Alexandrova · Mirra Andreeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Mirra Andreeva
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Alexandrova
6-4 (W-L)
Mirra Andreeva
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2–0
Mirra Andreeva
(2 last)
- 24 Jun2-0 12-7W
- 17 Apr2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1550 · Mirra Andreeva 1604
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mirra Andreeva (rating 1550 vs 1604).
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Alexandrova 2–0 Mirra Andreeva (2).
- Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.2 | 12.6-7.5 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 52% | 61.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Ekaterina Alexandrova 2 – 0 Mirra Andreeva (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterina Alexandrova 2–0 Mirra Andreeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 WTA Bad Homburg | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/04/25 WTA Stuttgart | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Linda Noskova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Kimberly Birrell US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/08 | McCartney Kessler US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 16/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Mirra Andreeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Daria Snigur WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Yue Yuan WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Anastasia Potapova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/09 | Nikola Bartunkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Eva Lys US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Janice Tjen US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva?
Our model gives 66% to Mirra Andreeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.