Tennis · WTA Beijing · 08/10, 05:00
Prediction: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova
Team pages: Karolina Muchova · Nikola Bartunkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Karolina Muchova
Nikola Bartunkova
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Karolina Muchova
7-3 (W-L)
Nikola Bartunkova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karolina Muchova 1591 · Nikola Bartunkova 1595
| Karolina Muchova | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Karolina Muchova | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.8 | 13.9-9.8 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 76.2% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karolina Muchova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Naomi Osaka WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 04/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/10 | Katie Boulter WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Anhelina Kalinina Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Emma Navarro US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Katie Boulter US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/08 | Sinja Kraus US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Nikola Bartunkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Magdalena Frech WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Mirra Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Tatjana Maria US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Mayar Sherif US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/08 | En Shuo Liang WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova?
Our model gives 60% to Karolina Muchova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.