Tennis · WTA Beijing · 07/10, 05:00
Prediction: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng
Team pages: Alina Charaeva · Qinwen Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Charaeva
Qinwen Zheng
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Charaeva
3-7 (W-L)
Qinwen Zheng
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alina Charaeva
0–1
Qinwen Zheng
(1 last)
- 06 Sept1-2 14-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Charaeva 1543 · Qinwen Zheng 1585
| Alina Charaeva | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Qinwen Zheng (rating 1543 vs 1585).
- Qinwen Zheng dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 42.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alina Charaeva 0–1 Qinwen Zheng (1).
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (6.7/match).
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Alina Charaeva | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-12.8 | 14.1-12.1 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 77.7% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
H2H · Alina Charaeva 0 – 1 Qinwen Zheng (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alina Charaeva 0–1 Qinwen Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/20 ITF W25 Marbella | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Charaeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Elena Rybakina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Sofia Kenin WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Xiaodi You WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Susan Bandecchi US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Qinwen Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/10 | Han Shi WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Jasmine Paolini Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Madison Keys US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Yulia Putintseva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Kristina Liutova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/08 | Elena Pridankina US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Clara Burel US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng?
Our model gives 68% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.